Rating Rationale
November 30, 2021 | Mumbai
Avenue Supermarts Limited
Ratings Reaffirmed
 
Rating Action
Total Bank Loan Facilities RatedRs.585 Crore
Long Term RatingCRISIL AA+/Stable (Reaffirmed)
 
Rs.200 Crore Commercial PaperCRISIL A1+ (Reaffirmed)
1 crore = 10 million
Refer to Annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities

Detailed Rationale

CRISIL Ratings has reaffirmed its ratings on the bank facilities and commercial paper of Avenue Supermarts Limited (ASL) at 'CRISIL AA+/Stable/CRISIL A1+'.

 

The ratings continue to reflect the strong market position of the company in the domestic organised F&G (food and grocery) retail market and robust financial risk profile. These strengths are partially offset by a moderate though improving geographic spread, and susceptibility of operating performance to regulatory changes and to competition.

 

Operating performance improved substantially year-on-year during the first-half of fiscal 2022 with strong recovery in same-store demand compared to pre-pandemic level, relaxation of constraints and new store additions. Although sales were impacted in fiscal 2021 because of pandemic-related curbs and restrictions on sale of non-food products and lower footfalls, performance remained resilient with only marginal degrowth of 3% and healthy cash accrual.

 

Furthermore, healthy operating profitability of 7.5-9% should sustain over the medium term despite moderating in fiscal 2021 to 6.7% due to suboptimal fixed cost coverage and lower proportion of high-margin merchandise in total sales. Overall profitability will be backed by faster breakeven of stores, superior per store revenue compared with peers, stable proportion of non-F&G sales, high inventory turnover as well as maintenance of the gross margin at around 15% despite increasing competitive intensity.

 

Financial risk profile should remain robust over the medium term, driven by strong cash accrual (estimated at over Rs 1,800 crore per fiscal), absence of any long-term borrowings and healthy liquidity.

Analytical Approach

For arriving at its ratings, CRISIL Ratings has combined the business and financial risk profiles of ASL and its wholly owned subsidiaries, Align Retail Trade Pvt Ltd (ARTPL), Avenue Food Plaza Private Ltd (AFPL), Avenue E-commerce Ltd (AEL), Nahar Seth and Jogani Developers Pvt Ltd and Reflect Wholesale and Retail Pvt Ltd. The subsidiaries are an integral part of ASL's operations. All the five companies are referred to as ASL.

 

Please refer Annexure - List of entities consolidated, which captures the list of entities considered and their analytical treatment of consolidation.

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description

Strengths:

  • Strong position in the organised retail segment:

Market position is reinforced by steady same-store growth (barring fiscal 2021), retail productivity, and short gestation for new stores. ASL currently operates 246 stores (as on September 30, 2021) under the DMart brand.

 

Strong procurement abilities, low-priced products along with high cost control will lead to greater footfall. This results in high inventory turnover and revenue per square foot (sq ft) and translates into industry-leading retail store productivity. Aggregate revenue per sq ft at about Rs 27,306 in fiscal 2021 (Rs 32,879 in 2020) is higher than most retailers in the same segment. Though operating profitability has improved over the years, it weakened in fiscal 2021 due to the impact of Covid-19.


Currently, the operations of the company are largely concentrated in West and South India. Expected large cluster-focused store addition over the next three years will help diversify geographical reach. Track record of outpacing peers in growth, strong merchandising and compelling value proposition, and benefits of economies of scale will strengthen the market share of ASL over the medium term. However, the impact of industry consolidation and intensity of competition (mainly from online retailers) will remain key monitorables.

 

  • Comfortable financial risk profile, adequate liquidity

Networth was sizeable at Rs 12,084 crore as on March 31, 2021, while strong annual cash generation continued despite steady store addition. The company has been able to maintain healthy operating metrics while adding stores, and prepaid debt through proceeds of its QIP (qualified institutional placement) in fiscal 2020. Out of the total QIP proceeds of Rs 4,098 crore, Rs 2,285 crore remained unutilised till March 2021, which has translated into strong debt protection metrics. The company incurred capital expenditure (capex) of over Rs 1,300 crore in fiscal 2021 and increased retail space to 8.8 million sq ft (further increased to 9.44 million sq. ft as of September 30, 2021) from 7.8 million sq ft.


Prudent expansion plan will entail a sizeable increase of about 20% per annum in existing retail space, to over 10 million sq ft by fiscal 2023. Strong cash generation of Rs 1,800-Rs 2,500 crore per annum is expected to be sufficient for capex, resulting in low dependence on external borrowings. Furthermore, liquidity is expected to remain healthy.


Weakness:

  • Susceptibility of operating performance to increasing competition

Consolidation in the industry will increase bargaining power of competitors in the brick and mortar retail, which may impact the gross margins of the company over the medium term.


The competitive intensity is also increasing due to higher focus of e-retailers in the F&G space. While ASL is a small player in the online F&G space, others such as BigBasket and Grofers and new entrants such as JioMart are registering aggressive growth. Though e-retail is currently a small proportion of overall retail, it will remain key monitorable over the medium term.

Liquidity: Strong

Liquidity is backed by healthy accrual, minimal debt and cash and equivalents of over Rs 2,400 crore as on March 30, 2021. Utilisation of fund-based working capital limit of Rs 585 crore was negligible over the six months through September 2021. The capex to be incurred for opening new stores over the next three fiscals is expected to be funded through internal accrual.

Outlook: Stable

Credit risk profile will remain healthy over the medium term on account of improving market position in the organised retail segment, strong annual cash generation, and healthy financial flexibility.

Rating Sensitivity factors

Upward factors

  • Substantial increase in higher scale of operations supported by improvement in geographical diversity, and sustenance of operating profitability at 8.5-9.0% over the medium term
  • Maintaining strong capital structure, with gearing below 0.20 time and adequate liquidity

 

Downward factors

  • Significant decline in operating margin below 7% due to large gestation losses from new stores
  • Larger-than-expected debt-funded capex weakening gearing to above 0.5 time

About the Company

ASL is engaged in the organised retail business through its DMart chain of stores. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is promoted by Mr Radhakishan Damani, an equity market investor. Mr Ignatius Navil Noronha is the chief executive officer and managing director. As of September 2021, it had 246 hypermarket stores across 12 states and 1 union territories.

ARTPL procures grocery items (including pulses, rice, wheat, vegetables and fruits) from local agricultural produce market committees, packages these, and supplies to ASL. AFPL runs fast-food counters outside the DMart stores. AEL is into e-retailing of F&G and operates currently in certain regions of Mumbai.  ASL acquired 50.79% in AEL in February 2018 for Rs 49.2 crore to make it a wholly owned subsidiary.

 

In the first-half of fiscal 2022, revenue was Rs 12,972 crore (Rs 9,189 crore in the corresponding period previous fiscal) and profit after tax (PAT) was Rs 513 crore (Rs 239 crore).

Key Financial Indicators(CRISIL Ratings-adjusted numbers)

As on March 31

Unit

2021

2020

Revenue

Rs. Cr

24,177

24,918

Profit after tax (PAT)

Rs. Cr

1,099

1,300

PAT margins

%

4.5

5.2

Adjusted debt/adjusted networth

Times

0.0

0.0

 

Any other information: Not applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL Ratings' complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments. The CRISIL Ratings' complexity levels are available on www.crisil.com/complexity-levels. Users are advised to refer to the CRISIL Ratings' complexity levels for instruments that they consider for investment. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.

Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)

ISIN

Name of instrument

Date of allotment

Coupon

rate (%)

Maturity

date

Issue size

(Rs crore)

Complexity

level

Rating assigned

with outlook

NA

Proposed Fund-Based Bank Limits

NA

NA

NA

240

NA

CRISIL AA+/Stable

NA

Working Capital Facility

NA

NA

NA

345

NA

CRISIL AA+/Stable

NA

Commercial Paper

NA

NA

7-365 Days

200

Simple

CRISIL A1+

 

Annexure – List of entities consolidated

S No

Name of Subsidiary

Subsidiary

Extent of consolidation

Rationale for consolidation

Fully consolidated subsidiaries

Subsidiary

100%

Business linkages

 

1

Align Retail Trade Pvt Ltd (ARTPL),

Subsidiary

100%

Business linkages

2

Avenue Food Plaza Private Ltd (AFPL)

Subsidiary

100%

Business linkages

3

Avenue E-commerce Ltd (AEL),

Subsidiary

100%

Business linkages

4

Nahar Seth and Jogani Developers Pvt Ltd

Subsidiary

100%

Business linkages

5

Reflect Wholesale and Retail Pvt Ltd

Subsidiary

100%

Business linkages

 

Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2021 (History) 2020  2019  2018  Start of 2018
Instrument Type Outstanding Amount Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Fund Based Facilities LT 585.0 CRISIL AA+/Stable   -- 09-11-20 CRISIL AA+/Stable 10-10-19 CRISIL AA+/Stable 26-10-18 CRISIL AA+/Stable CRISIL AA/Stable
      --   -- 27-10-20 CRISIL AA+/Stable 04-09-19 CRISIL AA+/Stable 24-09-18 CRISIL AA+/Stable --
      --   --   -- 26-04-19 CRISIL AA+/Stable / CRISIL A1+ 05-03-18 CRISIL AA/Positive --
Commercial Paper ST 200.0 CRISIL A1+   -- 09-11-20 CRISIL A1+ 10-10-19 CRISIL A1+ 26-10-18 CRISIL A1+ CRISIL A1+
      --   -- 27-10-20 CRISIL A1+ 04-09-19 CRISIL A1+ 24-09-18 CRISIL A1+ --
      --   --   -- 26-04-19 CRISIL A1+ 05-03-18 CRISIL A1+ --
Non Convertible Debentures LT   --   -- 27-10-20 Withdrawn 10-10-19 CRISIL AA+/Stable 26-10-18 CRISIL AA+/Stable CRISIL AA/Stable
      --   --   -- 04-09-19 CRISIL AA+/Stable 24-09-18 CRISIL AA+/Stable --
      --   --   -- 26-04-19 CRISIL AA+/Stable 05-03-18 CRISIL AA/Positive --
All amounts are in Rs.Cr.
Annexure - Details of Bank Lenders & Facilities
Facility Amount (Rs.Crore) Rating
Proposed Fund-Based Bank Limits 240 CRISIL AA+/Stable
Working Capital Facility 100 CRISIL AA+/Stable
Working Capital Facility 50 CRISIL AA+/Stable
Working Capital Facility 65 CRISIL AA+/Stable
Working Capital Facility 65 CRISIL AA+/Stable
Working Capital Facility 65 CRISIL AA+/Stable
Criteria Details
Links to related criteria
CRISILs Approach to Financial Ratios
Rating criteria for manufaturing and service sector companies
CRISILs Bank Loan Ratings - process, scale and default recognition
Rating Criteria for Retailing Industry
CRISILs Criteria for rating short term debt
CRISILs Criteria for Consolidation

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